Wednesday, September 27, 2006


Education, jobs, Iraq, and character driving voters - Ohio Poll

The folks behind the Univ. of Cincinnati's Ohio Poll are taking a little bit of a different tack this year and are supplementing their candidate surveys with polling on what's causing likely voters to line up behind certain candidates.

The poll results released today seem to confirm what other polls have shown - but in a different sort of way. For example, most pollsters have lumped the topic of "corruption" with other issues like jobs/economy, health care, war on terror, Iraq, etc.

Instead, the Ohio Pollsters treated "character" as a separate topic, presented to responders as one of four options (character, issues, political party and experience) as possible responses to the question, "What will make the single biggest difference in how you vote for" govenor or senator?

"Character" seems to us to be one of those words that is awfully maleable. We'd love to know more what the U.C.'s thoughts were on this. Values? Corruption? Good dresser?

The bottom line is that the U.C.'s methodology drives them to the somewhat bizarre conclusion that "no single issue dominates the political landscape this year." We don't believe that even these pollsters buy that education, jobs or the war won't be decisive factors.

Regardless here are some of the results:
“What will make the biggest difference in how you vote for governor?”
(Likely Voters Overall)

Issues (Total) 63%
Education 14%
Economy/jobs (including minimum wage) 13%
Taxes 12%
Need for “Change” 2%
Health (including Medicare/Medicaid) 2%
War in Iraq 2%
Other issue** 11 %

Candidate character 18%
Candidate political party 10%
Candidate experience 6%
Don’t know 2%

“What will make the biggest difference in how you vote for U.S. Senator?”
(Likely Voters Overall)

Issues (Total) 53%
Economy/jobs (including minimum wage) 10%
War in Iraq 9%
War on terrorism/homeland security 4%
Taxes 4%
Education 3%
Health (including Medicare) 2%
Immigration 2%
Other issue** 13%

Candidate character 15%
Candidate experience 14%
Candidate political party 14%
Don’t know 4%

Update: And just as we posted this, we caught the new CNN poll:
Terrorism and the Iraq war will play very important roles in the votes of a large majority of Americans when they go to the polls for the November midterm election, a new CNN poll shows.

On terrorism, 49 percent of the 1,009 respondents to the survey conducted by Opinion Research Corp. said it would be extremely important in deciding their congressional choices in November. Thirty-three percent said terrorism was very important, and 14 percent said it was moderately important.

On Iraq, the numbers were statistically identical to the terrorism results, with 46 percent saying the issue was extremely important, 36 percent very important and 14 percent moderately important.


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